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Monday, September 9, 2019

"When the wind picks up, you smell death"

The devastation in the Bahamas transcends words. The photos are gut wrenching. Dorian was the equivalent of an EF-3 tornado covering the island for more than a day, wiping nearly every trace of civilization in its path; while a storm surge flushed what was left and spread debris across the once beautiful landscape.


Hurricane Damage in the Bahamas (source here)
It has been over a week since the hurricane struck. Thousands of residents are still missing. The BBC is reporting that as many as 70,000 people are in need of immediate shelter, food and water.

The stories are unreal. A CNN reporter on the ground described the make-shift rescue efforts amidst the death and destruction:

There was little coordination or organization to the rescue effort, but limitless bravery.
              Many evacuees had held onto rafters of their flooded homes for hours, whipped by the wind and the rain. We asked where their houses were but could only make out a few roofs and trees in the distance.
              There were hundreds of homes there, rescuers told us, we just couldn't see them.  As the rescued evacuees climbed off Jet Skis in the waist-deep water, many collapsed and had to be carried to safety.
              "People are exhausted," rescuer Rochenel Daniel told us as the driving winds forced the rescuers to suspend their operations. "Some we had to carry, some couldn't even make it."
              As we fled the worsening weather, a wraith of a man in a red rain jacket approached us and whispered, "I've lost my wife."
              He said his name was Howard Armstrong, he was a crab fisherman and hours before he had seen his wife, Lynn, slip beneath floodwaters in their home as they awaited rescue. He was covered in bruises.
              "My poor little wife got hypothermia and she was standing on top of the cabinets until they disintegrated," he said. "I kept with her and she just drowned on me."
              Armstrong said he then swam to his neighbor's house. She was dead, too, he said.

The BBC reports that multiple international aid agencies and governments (the US and UK) are aiding the rescue and relief efforts.  Impacted residents from the northern islands are being ferried to Nassau, in the south; while some are seeking refuge in the US and other nearby countries.

The long-term prognosis for the Bahamas is mixed. As one Florida paper reported, the islands’ crucial tourism industry will be impacted for years to come, crippling their economy and the ability to rebuild. Even so, the country’s government is doing all it can to rebuild and assist, while reassuring hesitant tourists that the rest of the islands (including the critical cruise ship ports like Nassau) are “open for business.” The country needs the continued interest (and wealth) of foreign tourists to recover.  The article continues:

Ellison Thompson, deputy director general of the Bahamas Ministry of Tourism and Aviation, said the ministry is working around the clock to tell the world that top destinations like Nassau, the Exumas, Eleuthera and Bimini are doing fine.

“In order for the reconstruction to happen, we would need our visitors to keep coming, so taxes can be used to aid in the reconstruction of those two islands [Abaco and Grand Bahama, where Dorian hit],” Thompson told the Orlando Sentinel. Preliminary estimates put the cost of the damage at $7 billion, according to Bloomberg.

An aggressive message is crucial in the days and weeks following the storm, said Robertico Croes, an expert with the University of Central Florida who studies tourism economics in small and developing countries.

“The whole thing here is speed,” Croes said. “The quicker they can convince everybody that the southern part has not been affected and business can go on there and, as a matter of fact, it’s a good thing for business to go there, then [the faster] the south can help the north.”

Working in the Bahamas’ favor is U.S. residents’ familiarity with the region, Croes said. It’s the top market in terms of visitors to the islands, and Americans will still travel there.

It appears the secret to the Bahamas’ resiliency is going to be geography.  Dorian hit two of the 700 islands of the Bahamas.  A difference of a few dozen miles between its path and some of the population/tourist centers was enough to keep much of those locations intact and operational. 


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