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Monday, September 23, 2019

The Message of Adaptation

The landmark climate report by the US Department of Defense (DoD), mandated by the FY2018 DoD budget bill in Congress, continues to make news as its purpose and goals are debated.  The non-partisan Center for Climate and Security concludes that the report is a good start, but encourages the DoD to expand their efforts in this regard. 

Military assisting hurricane victims in Puerto Rico (source)
The Council on Foreign Relations outlined some of the national defense-related concerns in the report. They are significant:

Citing increased exposure to recurrent flooding, drought, desertification, wildfires, and thawing permafrost, the report highlights how climate change affects U.S. military readiness to respond to national security emergencies.

The report includes a list of selected events where mission related activities at military installations were compromised due to environmental vulnerabilities as well as a brief list of policies taken to mitigate future damages. To quantify the extent to which the military is threatened by climate change, the report tracked seventy-nine priority American domestic installations chosen by their critical operational roles. While the public report was circumspect on details given the sensitive strategic nature of the subject, it did identify climate change as an important and tangible threat to the U.S. military….

Of course, protecting operational bases against severe weather events is not the only worry the military has in the face of climate change…. Beyond direct U.S. military activities related to the homeland, the DoD report mentions that the U.S. military carries out significant humanitarian and disaster relief efforts, as directed by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). If climate change does lead to an increased severity of global natural disasters, the military may need to expand its capacity to deal with traumatic events in different parts of the globe, on top of expanding requirements and strains at home….

Climate change also threatens increased destabilization in regions outside of the United States, which may put strain on deployed troops or even require U.S. military intervention. Sea-level rise could threaten rapidly developing cities along the coast of Africa like Mogadishu, Djibouti City, and Mombasa with damaged infrastructure and compromised water supplies. Any major displacement from these major cities would be a geopolitical risk and put even more strain on the already stressed global immigration channels.

Regardless of your position vis-à-vis the cause of change in the climate or our ability to abate the progress of that change, the reality of change should not be debated. Instead, as the report accurately points out, we should be doing all we can to adapt and enhance resilience worldwide.   

Perhaps this report and the subsequent studies it prompts in the US Government will help quell partisan bickering and expand this important discussion through all segments of our society.



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