Photos

Photos

Friday, September 8, 2017

A Trend That Won't Be Reversed

The Western Hemisphere is suffering this week.  Like many, I watch from a distance as a “once-in-a-century” 8.1 magnitude killer earthquake rattles Mexico, while a literal train of powerful hurricanes batters the US and our neighbors.  Disasters like Hurricanes Harvey and Irma are not uncommon, but they’re never welcome.  Even worse, disasters like these are always disruptive and, when lives are lost, downright tragic.   

Some ask the one-word question, “Why?” Others, like me, ask a second one-word question, “What?”  What can be done to minimize the damage? What can be done to avoid the damage?  Unlike the answer to the “Why?” question, the answer to “What?” can be answered, but it’s complicated by the reality that the best solutions aren’t always realistic.  And that is very frustrating to me.


Years ago, shortly after Hurricane Ike wreaked havoc on Houston, I recall reading an article in The Observer by Steve Cohen, who wrote: “I advocate developing a more realistic and routine process for dealing with these events and their aftermath… In addition to reconstruction, it may be time to take another look at our 20th century industrial age infrastructure.”   

This made sense to me as well, though my first thought was that we keep building where we shouldn’t and we keep rebuilding every time our cities and towns are destroyed.  In my mind, it’s an expensive and unnecessarily waste of time and resources. The solution seemed straightforward by asking a third one-word question: “Where?”  Where can we go to avoid the problems in the first place? The answer: Don’t rebuild in place. Rebuild safely and in a less vulnerable location.

But here’s where reality takes hold and the need to develop more pragmatic solutions that work within the fabric of our American society becomes more important.  In his article, Cohen expanded on his suggestion, saying:

"As the planet has gotten more crowded, more of us have settled in places that are vulnerable to natural disasters. I don’t think this trend is going to be reversed. Moreover, our lifestyles depend on electricity, transport, food, waste disposal and water that is sold to us by large centralized public and private organizations. The proportion of people who grow their own food, use well water, septic systems and compost their own garbage is lower every year. This means that we are increasingly vulnerable to disasters like Katrina or Ike.

"It’s time to start working on ways to reduce our vulnerability. Some of the answer is better emergency response and more reliable reconstruction. But an important part of the answer is to develop and implement technologies that allow our urban population to use less centralized infrastructure.  There are, of course, powerful economic interests that will oppose this idea. That’s because they own and operate the centralized and vulnerable infrastructure that we rely on. 

"My hope is that the companies that develop these less centralized technologies will succeed in selling them to the public. Just as laptops replaced mainframe computers, and Apple iPods replaced the SONY Walkman, someday, small household renewable electricity generators might replace the power grid."   

If it’s just not realistic to expect entire cities in the paths of hurricanes (e.g., Miami, Houston, New Orleans) or earthquake prone countries (Mexico, Italy) to up and move to avoid damage, it’s time to take very hard look at fourth one-word question: “How?”  How do we create less vulnerable and resilient human settlements? How can we convince governments, municipalities, homeowners and insurance companies to build (and rebuild) in a way that truly reduces potential loss of life and property from natural events?   

Decentralization, less reliance on regional utility and distribution systems, and the construction of less vulnerable structures of all types is the mainstay of hazard mitigation for many types of events where those in harm’s way cannot easily be relocated.  The techniques and solutions are there and should be implemented at all levels.


Which brings me to a final one-word question: “When?”  When should we do this? Now!


No comments:

Post a Comment